Does it make sense to focus on scenarios where change is rapid and due to a single actor, or slower and dependent on getting agreements between several relevant actors?
In progress
- There is enough uncertainty that we should not put all of our efforts into either branch of possibility
- Links to takeoff speed stuff and multipolar scenarios vs singletons
- We don’t really know
- So it’s important to work on both
- https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/LpM3EAakwYdS6aRKf/what-multipolar-failure-looks-like-and-robust-agent-agnostic
- https://www.alignmentforum.org/tag/multipolar-scenarios